Mid-Level

Predictive Modeler

Building statistical and machine-learning models for business problems, you turn data into predictions — customer churn, default risk, lifetime value, fraud likelihood, marketing response. The applied data-science layer.

Career Level
Junior
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Work Personality
I
C
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Investigativeanalytical, curious
Conventionalorganizing, detail-oriented
Based on Holland Code framework
Job markets for Predictive Modelers
Employment concentration · ~251 areas
Based on employment in related occupations
Mapped SOC categories:
BLS Occupational Employment Statistics
What it's like

What it's like to be a Predictive Modeler

A typical week mixes data exploration, feature engineering, model training, and stakeholder presentations — pulling data from warehouses, building model variants in Python or R, evaluating performance, presenting recommendations to business owners. You're often balancing model performance against interpretability and operational fit. Model accuracy, business adoption, and ROI of model decisions anchor the visible measures.

The harder part is often the gap between research-grade model performance and production reality — a model that performs in offline backtesting can underperform in deployment for reasons that take weeks to diagnose. Variance across employers is sharp: at major banks and tech firms predictive modeling runs in mature ML platforms; at smaller firms or growth-stage companies modelers often build infrastructure alongside the work.

Strong predictive modelers tend to be mathematically grounded, programmatically rigorous, and intellectually honest about model limits. The trade-off is the model-decay reality — models trained on yesterday's data underperform on tomorrow's. ML engineering and analytics credentials anchor advancement.

IndependenceAbove avg
AchievementAbove avg
Working ConditionsAbove avg
RecognitionAbove avg
RelationshipsModerate
SupportModerate
O*NET Work Values survey
✦ Editorial — written by Truest from industry research and career patterns
Career Paths

Where this role sits in the broader career landscape — and where it can take you.

$239K$179K$119K$60K$0KLower paying387 metro areas, sorted by salary level
All experience levels1
This level's estimated range
INDUSTRIES PAYING ABOVE AVERAGE
1 BLS OEWS May 2024 covers all Predictive Modelers (SOC 13-2099.01), not just this title · BEA RPP 2023
* Top salaries exceed this figure. BLS caps reported wages at ~$240K to protect individual privacy in high-earning roles.
Exploring the Predictive Modeler career path? Truest helps you figure out if it's the right fit — and plan your path forward.
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✦ Editorial — career progression and interview guidance based on industry patterns
The Broader Landscape

Roles like this one sit within a broader occupational category. The numbers below reflect that full landscape — helpful for context, but your specific experience will depend on level, specialty, and where you work.

$46K–$152K
Salary Range
10th – 90th percentile
127K
U.S. Employment
+3.1%
10yr Growth
10K
Annual Openings

How this category is changing

$74K$71K$68K$65K$62K201920202021202220232024$62K$74K
BLS OEWS May 2024 · BLS Employment Projections 2024–2034

Skills & Requirements

MathematicsCritical ThinkingReading ComprehensionComplex Problem SolvingSpeakingActive LearningJudgment and Decision MakingActive ListeningWritingSystems Analysis
O*NET OnLine · Bureau of Labor Statistics
13-2099.01

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Federal data: BLS Occupational Employment & Wage Statistics (May 2024) · BLS Employment Projections · O*NET OnLine
Truest editorial: Fit check, role profile, things that vary, advancement analysis, lateral moves, interview questions.